2023 U.S. Open picks, odds, field, date: Surprising PGA predictions by golf model that's called 9 majors

The top golfers in the world will compete at the 2023 U.S. Open. The third major of the year tees off Thursday, June 15 at Los Angeles Country Club. Matthew Fitzpatrick is the defending champion and with another U.S. Open victory, he'll become the first golfer to repeat since Brooks Koepka accomplished the feat in 2017-18. Fitzpatrick is 25-1 to repeat according to the latest 2023 U.S. Open odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Scottie Scheffler is the 7-1 favorite, with Jon Rahm (8-1), Rory McIlroy (10-1) and Koepka (109-1) next in line on the PGA odds board.

Before locking in your 2023 U.S. Open picks or entering any PGA DFS tournaments on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to see the 2023 U.S. Open predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $8,300 on its best bets since that point, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. And at the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.

In addition, the model included Nick Hardy and Davis Riley in its best bets to win the 2023 Zurich Classic. That bet hit at +4500, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned over $1,100. McClure's best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson, even though he hadn't won a PGA Tour event since 2018.

This same model has also nailed a whopping nine majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the 2023 U.S. Open field is taking shape, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected 2023 U.S. Open leaderboard.

One major surprise the model is calling for at the U.S. Open 2023: Max Homa, a six-time PGA Tour champion and one of the top favorites, stumbles this week and doesn't even crack the top 10. Homa is just one of four players to record multiple wins this season, but he's been inconsistent in recent weeks.

The 32-year-old is coming off a top-10 finish at the Charles Schwab Challenge, but he's finished 43rd or worse in four of his last six starts on the PGA Tour. He's also struggled on golf's biggest stages, finishing 43rd or worse in his last four starts at a major championship, which includes a 47th-place showing at the U.S. Open in 2022. He's not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the 2023 U.S. Open field. See which golfers to fade here.

Another surprise: Collin Morikawa, a 22-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Morikawa hasn't won a PGA Tour event since 2021 and has only recorded four top-10 finishes during the 2022-23 season.

Despite his recent fall from dominance, Morikawa tends to play his best in major championships. He's a two-time major champion and secured a top-10 finish at the Masters in April. He also recorded a fifth-place finish at the U.S. Open in 2022, making him a strong choice for your 2023 U.S. Open bets at this price, according to the model. See who else to pick here.

The model is also targeting three other golfers with U.S. Open odds 2023 of 18-1 or longer who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's 2023 U.S. Open picks here.

So, who will win the U.S. Open 2023, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2023 U.S. Open odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2023 U.S. Open leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed nine golf majors, including this year's Masters.

See full the U.S. Open 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.

Scottie Scheffler +700 Jon Rahm +800 Brooks Koepka +900 Rory McIlroy +1000 Max Homa +1400 Justin Thomas +1600 Patrick Cantlay +1600 Viktor Hovland +1800 Cameron Smith +1800 Xander Schauffele +1800 Collin Morikawa +2200 Jordan Spieth +2500 Matt Fitzpatrick +2500 Tony Finau +2500 Dustin Johnson +2800 Hideki Matsuyama +3500 Shane Lowry +3500 Cameron Young +3500 Sungjae Im +3500 Bryson DeChambeau +4000 Jason Day +4000 Joaquin Niemann +5000 Sam Burns +5000 Rickie Fowler +5000 Sahith Theegala +5500 Tyrrell Hatton +5500 Corey Conners +5500 Aaron Wise +6000 Daniel Berger +6000 Tommy Fleetwood +6000 Joonhyung (Tom) Kim +6000 Louis Oosthuizen +6500 Wyndham Clark +6500 Keegan Bradley +6500 Davis Riley +6500 Marc Leishman +6500 Billy Horschel +7000 Denny McCarthy +7500 Justin Rose +7500 Seamus Power +8000 Mito Pereira +8000 Patrick Reed +8500 Russell Henley +9000 Talor Gooch +9000 Abraham Ancer +9000 Christiaan Bezuidenhout +10000 Robert MacIntyre +10000 Webb Simpson +10000 Gary Woodland +10000 Harold Varner +10000 Jason Kokrak +10000 Adam Scott +10000 Thomas Pieters +12500 Tom Hoge +12500 Chris Kirk +12500 Mackenzie Hughes +12500 Si-Woo Kim +12500 Brian Harman +12500 Luke List +12500 Cam Davis +12500 Sergio Garcia +12500 Sebastian Munoz +12500 Kurt Kitayama +12500 Patrick Rodgers +15000 Lucas Herbert +15000 Matthew NeSmith +15000 Keith Mitchell +15000 Adrian Meronk +15000 Cameron Tringale +15000 Harris English +15000 Kevin Kisner +15000 Taylor Moore +15000 K.H. Lee +15000 JT Poston +15000 Alex Noren +15000 Phil Mickelson +15000 Min Woo Lee +15000 Adam Hadwin +17500 Victor Perez +17500 Adam Svensson +17500 Nick Hardy +17500 Matt Kuchar +20000 Joel Dahmen +20000 Eddie Pepperell +20000 Sepp Straka +20000 Taylor Montgomery +20000 Justin Suh +20000 Nick Taylor +20000